حان الوقت لتعرف روسيا ان تطوير مقاتلة شبحية مهمة صعبة

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16 فبراير 2012
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نقلا عن رويترز فأن روسيا ستأخر او توقف مؤقتا برنامج انتاج الباك فا بسبب الاوضاع المالية و التكلفة العالية لبرنامج مقاتله الجيل خامس في المقابل ستطلب 48 مقاتلة اضافية من SU 35 حتي تبقي علي الوضع المتقدم لقواتها الجوية و ان الاعتماد علي اعداد كبيرة من مقاتلات متقدمة جدا غير شيحية مثل السوخوي احسن من الناحية المادية من تطوير مقاتله شبحية في ظل ازمة مالية
و ان الدور سيأتي علي الصين لتتعلم مثل هذا الدرس


It’s Russia’s turn to learn that stealth warplanes are hard to do
By David Axe January 20, 2016
Tags: B-2 STEALTH BOMBER | CHINESE J-20 | F-35 STEALTH FIGHTER | RUSSIAN MILITARY | SUKHOI T-50 FIGHTER | U.S. AIR FORCE | U.S. MILITARY
axe-top!
Sukhoi T-50 fighter climbing after takeoff, 2011. Creative Commons

After confronting serious technical and economic difficulties, Russia has dramatically cut back its air force program to field its first radar-evading “stealth” fighter jet. By delaying large-scale acquisition of the Sukhoi T-50 fighter, the Kremlin is tacitly acknowledging a truth that the U.S. military learned decades ago — and that China might also learn in coming years: developing stealth fighters is hard.

But fortunately for the Russian air force, and unfortunately for Washington and its allied air arms that are Russia’s chief rivals, Moscow has a backup plan. Instead of counting on a new stealth jet to outfit its fighter squadrons, the Russian government is buying heavily upgraded versions of older planes — an approach the Pentagon has dismissed as wasteful. It could, however, help Russia maintain its aerial edge.

The T-50, like practically all stealth aircraft before it, has proved expensive to develop, although exactly how expensive remains a closely guarded secret. Radar-evading warplanes require careful design work, extensive testing and exotic materials for their construction — all features that can double or triple their cost compared to conventional, non-stealthy planes.

Even with their high cost, air forces all over the world are scrambling to acquire stealth aircraft because their ability to avoid detection can, in theory, offer a big advantage in air-to-air combat and during bombing runs.

But a competing theory of aerial warfare argues that stealth is overrated — and it’s better to buy greater numbers of cheaper, non-stealthy planes. Moscow’s troubles in developing the T-50 have compelled it to adhere to the competing philosophy.

A F-22 Raptor fighter jet of the 95th Fighter Squadron from Tyndall, Florida approaches a KC-135 Stratotanker from the 100th Air Refueling Wing at the Royal Air Force Base in Mildenhall in Britain as they fly over the Baltic Sea towards the newly established NATO airbase of Aemari, Estonia September 4, 2015. Four F-22 Raptors and some 60 airmen were deployed to Spangdahlem Air Base, western Germany, to train with allied air forces such as Poland and Estonia. The first-ever training deployment of the 5th fighter generation to Europe is part of the European Reassurance Initiative. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay
A F-22 Raptor fighter jet of the 95th Fighter Squadron from Tyndall, Florida, flying over the Baltic Sea to a new NATO airbase in Aemari, Estonia September 4, 2015. REUTERS/Wolfgang Rattay

Russia arrived late to the stealth-warplane party. The U.S. Air Force fielded its first radar-evading warplane — the F-117 attack jet — in 1983. It added the B-2 stealth bomber to its inventory in 1997 and then the F-22 stealth fighter in 2005. The Marine Corps, meanwhile, was the first U.S. military branch to introduce the latest F-35 stealth fighter, in July 2015. The Air Force anticipates declaring its own F-35s operational in 2016.

The F-117 retired in 2008, but the Pentagon still possesses hundreds of stealth planes and plans to acquire hundreds more in coming years via large-scale purchases of F-35s and the new Long-Range Strike Bomber, a successor to the B-2. Its economy and military crippled by the Soviet Union’s 1991 collapse, Russia didn’t begin serious work on the T-50 until 2002. The first prototype took off on its inaugural flight in January 2010, a year before China’s first stealth prototype — the J-20 — made its debut.

All the U.S., Russian and Chinese stealth aircraft possess special features for minimizing their detectability on radar and other sensors. These include rounded or angular shaping that can scatter radar waves, plus special materials that absorb radar instead of deflecting it.

Stealth plane design is a balancing act. The aircraft must be able to avoid detection while also flying fast and far enough, and carrying a big enough payload, to make them militarily useful. They cannot be so expensive that an air force can’t actually afford to buy them in meaningful numbers. In the 40 years it has been working on stealth technology, the United States has never stopped struggling with this balance.

UNDATED FILE PHOTO - The United States has pledged radar-avoiding B-2 bombers, shown in an undated photo, and F-117A attack jets to a NATO force of up to 430 warplanes that could blast Serbian military targets, U.S. defense officials said October 8. It would be the first combat use of America's batwing B-2s, the world's most advanced, and most expensive, warplanes. Each is capable of dropping 40,000 pounds (18,000 kg) of satellite-guided "smart" bombs and costs around $2 billion. HB/ELD/SB - RTRI4WC
B-2 bombers were part of the NATO force attacking Serbian military targets, October 8, 1998. REUTERS/Archive

The B-2 is hard to detect and flies well, but at more than $2 billion each, it proved too expensive for mass purchase. The U.S. Air Force managed to buy 21 of the bat-shaped planes from manufacturer Northrop Grumman. Lockheed Martin designed the F-35 to be affordable, but that compelled the company to cut back on the fighter’s stealth features. In any event, developmental difficulties have driven up the F-35’s cost to more than $100 million a plane — hardly cheap.

Neither the Russian government nor Sukhoi, the company that makes the T-50, have said how much the twin-engine, single-seat supersonic fighter has cost to develop or how much it might cost to buy once the design is complete. It’s safe to say, however, that development could consume tens of billions of dollars. And each plane could set back the buyer $100 million.

And that’s assuming the T-50 actually works. There are signs that it doesn’t — at least not very well. In six years, the six T-50 prototypes have completed just 700 test flights, according to a recent article in Combat Aircraft magazine by Piotr Butowski, an expert in Russian military aviation. By comparison, Lockheed and the U.S. Air Force built eight F-22 test planes and flew them 3,500 times between 1997 and 2005. It looks like the T-50s aren’t even reliable enough to undergo intensive testing.

That was dramatically apparent on June 10, 2014, when the fifth T-50 prototype — then less than a year old — suffered a catastrophic engine fire while taxiing on the ground. The damage was so bad that Sukhoi had to halt production of the sixth prototype and use its parts to rebuild the burned plane. The Indian air force, which is considering buying a version of the T-50, complained of “shortfalls … in terms of performance and other technical features

Events overtook the T-50’s slow and costly development. With many foreign governments imposing sanctions in the wake of Russia’s 2014 annexation of Ukraine’s Crimea, and oil prices plummeting amid a global supply glut, in 2015 Russia entered a recession that saw its economy shrink 3 percent in one year. Perhaps not surprisingly, in March 2015, Deputy Defense Minister Yuri Borisov announced that Russia would reduce its order. The Kremlin said it would buy just a dozen T-50s by 2020, instead of the 60 it originally planned.

An aircraft that is reported to be a Chinese stealth fighter is seen in Chengdu, Sichuan province, in this picture taken January 7, 2011, and released by Kyodo news agency January 8, 2011. China staged a first test-flight of a new stealth fighter jet that could narrow the nation's military gap with the United States on January 11, 2011, while the U.S. defence chief was in Beijing, Chinese Internet accounts said. The U.S. military believes the aircraft is a J-20 stealth fighter prototype. Picture taken January 7. REUTERS/Kyodo (CHINA - Tags: POLITICS MILITARY IMAGES OF THE DAY) FOR EDITORIAL USE ONLY. NOT FOR SALE FOR MARKETING OR ADVERTISING CAMPAIGNS. JAPAN OUT. NO COMMERCIAL OR EDITORIAL SALES IN JAPAN - RTXWFEW
An aircraft reported to be a Chinese stealth fighter in Chengdu, Sichuan province, January 7, 2011. REUTERS/Kyodo News Agency

By then the United States should have more than 500 stealth planes in frontline service. China finished the first production-standard J-20 in December 2015 and is expected to acquire dozens more in the next few years — though it’s unclear how much the J-20 costs and how happy Beijing is with its performance.

To make up for the cuts to Russia’s T-50 program, the Kremlin has boosted production of the Su-35 and Su-30, the latest upgraded versions of the Cold War-vintage Su-27, a powerful twin-engine fighter whose various models are now the standard warplanes of the Russian, Chinese and Indian air arms. The Su-35 and Su-30 aren’t stealthy, but they are fast, far-flying and capable of carrying heavy payloads of missiles and bombs.

A SU-35 military jet performs during the opening of the MAKS-2009 international air show in Zhukovsky outside Moscow, August 18, 2009. REUTERS/Sergei Karpukhin (RUSSIA TRANSPORT SCI TECH MILITARY) - RTR26UDS
A SU-35 military jet flies during the opening of the MAKS-2009 international air show in Zhukovsky outside Moscow, August 18, 2009. REUTERS/Sergei Karpukhin

The Su-35, in particular, is a very capable warplane. Moscow ordered 48 planes in 2009 and is widely expected to soon place a second order for another 48. “It would be fair to describe this aircraft as the pinnacle of current conventional-fighter design,” wrote Carlo Kopp, an analyst with the Air Power Australia think tank, “blending a superb basic aerodynamic design with advanced engine, flight control and avionic technology”

Based on a proven design, the Su-35 is reliable. It’s also comparatively cheap, as low as $50 million a plane. Which is half as much as a T-50 or F-35. An upgraded classic fighter is at a disadvantage compared to a stealth plane in one regard: the ability to avoid detection under certain circumstances. But the classic fighter actually holds the advantage over a stealth plane when it comes to reliability and cost and some performance parameters, including maneuverability and payload.

Whether the stealth jet’s advantage is worth its disadvantages is a philosophical question for military planners. The Pentagon decided in favor of stealth planes, even cancelling upgrades to older F-15s and F-16s to free up more money for more F-35s. In Russia, circumstances largely settled the issue, forcing the Kremlin to bet on classic fighters over their stealth counterparts.

The world might never know who’s right unless Russia and the United States go to war against each other — a proof of concept no one actually welcomes.
 
كما كنت اتوقع تعثر كبير للباك فا
الى الان تبقى مقاتلات الشبح حكرا على امريكا رغم كل المشاريع الطموحه في الشرق والغرب حتى إشعار آخر
 
واسرائيل قريبا تحصل علي مقاتلات متخفيه
وبهذا تقل فرصه العرب في الحصول في المدي القريب علي مماثل للاف 35
 
الحل للعرب الحصول على صواريخ تكتيكية مثل الاسكندر لضرب مطارات انطلاق f35
 
يعني نصدق كلمه خردة ؟:p
 
اعتقد فرصة قدام دول كتير للمشاركة مقابل نقل التقنية او التصنيع
 
طلب سو35 ليس له علاقه ب ت-50..... ت-50 ستدخل الخدمة السنة القادمة
 
حد يجيب اخبار الباك فا من رويترز على العكس الموضوع فلوسه جاهزه اساسا وزيادة مشاركة الهند من ناحية والروس لو احتاجه فلوس ميت دوله هتدخل بتقلها فىالموضوع بزيادة عند السعودية والامارات ومصر الصبح مستعدين للتمويل بس دا لو حقيقى
السو 35 زيها زى الاف 15 هل تزويد الاف 15 ينتقص من الاف 22 او الاف 35 بالطبع لا
 
المشكلة انو ال f35
ماتحتاج مطار اصلا
كنت زيك فى الاول
الطيارة لما تكون شايل حمولة تسليحية اى كان حجمها لابد من مطار للاقلاع ضرورى
الهبوط بعد افراغ كامل الحموله ؟ ينفع تستعمل الهبوط العمودى فقط
المشكلة انها لو عندك طرق سريعة نضيفة بدون مطبات تشبه نعومة السيراميك زى بريطانيا وامريكا ممكن تستعملها كمطارات للهبوط وطبعا طيار متمكن
 
روسيا الإتحادية لا تزال متأخرة بعض الشيء في تلبية إحتياجات قواتها الجوية.

حتى الآن لم تنتهي من إستلام كافة مقاتلات SU-30. ويتوقع أن يكتمل إستلامها هذا العام.
 
لو يصير تعاون بين الصين وروسيا بشأن الشبحيات اتوقع يتعجل الموضوع
 
During the annual India-Russia summit, which took place in late December 2015 in Moscow, Russian President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi failed to resolve an ongoing disagreement between the two countries over the future of a joint fifth generation fighter program.

India and Russia in early 2007 signed an intergovernmental agreement to co-develop a fifth generation fighter–the Sukhol/HAL Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) or as it known in India, the Perspective Multi-role Fighter (PMF). The aircraft will be a multi-role, single seat, twin-engine air superiority/deep air support fighter with stealth capabilities and is based on the Sukhoi PAK FA (Prospective Airborne Complex of Frontline Aviation) T-50 prototype, currently undergoing flight tests in Russia.

Ever since 2007, however, the weapons program has experienced various setbacks.

Delays were caused by New Delhi and Moscow disagreeing over many fundamental aspects of the joint development project including work and cost share, aircraft technology, as well as the number of aircraft to be ordered. After evaluating the first PAK FA T-50 prototype, the Indian Air Force (IAF) wanted more than 40 changes addressing, among other things, perceived weaknesses in the plane’s engine, stealth and weapon-carrying capabilities.

While a preliminary $295 million design contract was signed in 2010, the final design contract under which both sides agreed to contribute each $6 billion for design and production and which also included a fixed order of 154 aircraft, a compromise on work share, a firm commitment to the number of single- versus double-seat aircraft still has not been signed to date. (Even though the head of Russia’s United Aircraft Corporation (UAC) last June that a full R&D collaboration contract would be signed in 2015.)

As I before, the fifth generation fighter jet was slated to be introduced into the Indian Air Force by 2022. Russia was supposed to receive 250 aircraft, whereas India downgraded its initial purchasing size from 200 to 144 planes in 2012 at an estimated total cost of $30 billion. However in late 2015, Russian Deputy Minister Yuri Borisov that the Russian Air Force would only purchase a squadron (18-24 aircraft) of PAK FA fighter jets, and procure additional Sukhoi Su-35 aircraft instead.

The announcement apparently finally made India lose faith in the program. Last month, Russia tried to salvage the joint project by making India an offer to cut down its financial contribution from 6 to $ 3.7 billion for three PAK FA T-50 prototypes and technology transfers, The Indian Express .

“Now that they already have the fighter, the Russians have made a revised offer to us. For $3.7 billion, they will give us all the technological know-how of making the fighter. We will also get three prototypes from them in that amount,” a senior Indian defense official told the paper.

However, a senior IAF official told the paper that the air force remains skeptical: “We are not in favor of the FGFA. The PAK FA fighter is too expensive at even this rate, and we are not sure of its capabilities.”

The meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi was supposed to lead to some sort of compromise, but without even a revised signed design contract the project’s future will remain in limbo.

Meanwhile, the Russia’s Defense Ministry that the PAK FA T-50 prototype has “practically completed” flight tests and will be into the Russian Air and Space Force in 2017. So far, four PAK FA T-50 prototypes, along with two test beds of the fighter, have been delivered by Sukhoi to the Russian military and are currently undergoing extensive testing. Three more prototypes are expected to be delivered in early 2016.
 
طلب سو35 ليس له علاقه ب ت-50..... ت-50 ستدخل الخدمة السنة القادمة
لا علاقة صحيح .. لكن الن يبدأ المشروع بالتعثر من ناحية الكميات او استكمال البرنامج التطويري..
 
الصاروخ اسكندر عفا عليه الزمن منظومة الباتريود تسقطه بكل سهولة
كلام بعيد عن الواقع
صاروخ هايبر سونيك سرعته ٢١٠٠م لكل ثانية
داخل فية مواد ماصة للاشعاع تصميم حديث دقة من ٥-٧ م راح علية الزمن ازاي؟!!!!!!!!
 
لا علاقة صحيح .. لكن الن يبدأ المشروع بالتعثر من ناحية الكميات او استكمال البرنامج التطويري..
برنامج تطويري لا مش هيتعثر
لان تمن التطوير الهند والمشترين الاخرين سيدفعوه
المهم بالنسبة لنا ان الطيارة تدخل الانتاج
روسيا تكتفي منها او لا امر لايعنينا
ملناش فية يا حج تساو تساو
 
أعتقد روسيا بتحاول تجر رجل زبائن الباك فا المحتملين لفكرة إنه للحصول عليها لابد ان تدخل كشريك في المشروع

و ده طبيعي نظراً للظروف المالية الروسية بسبب إنهيار أسعار البترول
 
روسيا الإتحادية لا تزال متأخرة بعض الشيء في تلبية إحتياجات قواتها الجوية.

حتى الآن لم تنتهي من إستلام كافة مقاتلات SU-30. ويتوقع أن يكتمل إستلامها هذا العام.
كلام غير دقيق
كنت فاكر زيك بالظبط لكن الروس كم الطائرات المطورة والحديثة اللي دخلت عندهم ضخم جدا
سواء. سو٣٠ اوسو٣٥ او ميج٢٩كية دة غير القاذفات والهيل المقاتل
بالمناسبة متقارنهاش بامريكا لكن باوروبا الامريكان خططهم مستقرة من مدة وهما سابقين الكل ببرامج التسلح
اما اوروبا مقارنة بالتسليح الروسي الروس دخلو مقاتلات حديثة كتير جدا في خلال العشر سنين الاخيرة
 
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